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POSSIBLE TODAY · 13-20 · Tonight projected FPTS (season-avg estimate)
Powers thisSimple estimate: /season_averages → FPTS × (game tonight via /games) × status factor (O=0, GTD=0.5) · DEMO formula — not a model

Arc Angels · Thu Nov 5 · 9:12 PM ET

Tonight projected FPTS

Simple season-average estimate per starter tonight. Labelled DEMO — not a projection model.

DEMO estimate
Arc Angels tonight
210.0
5 starters playing
Paint Patrol tonight
390.7
7 starters playing
Edge tonight
-180.7
DEMO estimate
Bench left out
0.0
bench playing tonight

Tonight projected FPTS DEMO proj = season FPTS/G × status factor · 0 if no game

SlotPlayerTonightSeason avgFactorProjLive now
PGS. Curryno game44.6—0.0—
SGS. Gilgeous-Alexandervs SAC · 7:30 PM59.5×159.529.8
GC. Cunninghamno game59.0—0.0—
SFM. Bridges@ MIN · 7:30 PM40.9×140.927.7
PFG. AntetokounmpoGTD@ UTA · 10:00 PM54.8×0.527.4—
FJ. Jackson Jr.no game52.1—0.0—
CN. Jokićno game69.7—0.0—
UTILA. Edwardsvs NYK · 7:30 PM43.8×143.834.1
UTILD. BookerDTDno game51.6—0.0—
UTILK. Murray@ OKC · 7:30 PM38.4×138.428.9
BND. Whiteno game50.5—0.0—
BNA. Thompsonno game47.0—0.0—
BNC. Johnsonno game37.2—0.0—
IRJ. TatumOno game47.4—0.0—
Starters total210.0

S. Gilgeous-Alexander and A. Edwards carry tonight’s projection

Projected FPTS tonight, my starters with a game

S. Gilgeous-Alexander
59.5
A. Edwards
43.8
M. Bridges
40.9
K. Murray
38.4
G. Antetokounmpo
27.4

Source: balldontlie /season_averages × /games tonight · DEMO formula, not a model.

Formula

proj = Σ(avg_stat × weight)
  × has_game_tonight
  × (O 0 · GTD .5 · DTD .75 · else 1)

Labelled DEMO everywhere: no opponent, pace, or minutes adjustment.